Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 634.728093 711.865887 797.414027 899.822079 1019.730461 1156.477098 1325.360970
2025-02-16 515.144575 616.286611 738.353853 898.510312 1106.096543 1370.320368 1739.141090
2025-02-23 460.504259 574.020648 718.723087 920.583414 1201.317052 1588.095818 2180.291255
2025-03-02 423.349960 545.469556 708.239399 947.243240 1300.353503 1822.187572 2692.079978
2025-03-09 389.869681 516.026762 690.447715 957.790665 1373.776630 2027.678135 3205.545437
2025-03-16 358.517427 485.206410 665.794390 952.855368 1420.007122 2195.628291 3695.298840
2025-03-23 337.903140 467.055894 656.605074 968.742353 1499.700380 2431.327567 4370.441812
2025-03-30 309.612955 434.713260 622.364913 939.760761 1498.389868 2522.036748 4783.380371
2025-04-06 285.733824 406.850522 592.127089 913.225738 1496.405445 2609.382183 5212.664128
2025-04-13 263.918788 380.378276 561.597993 882.451766 1481.687204 2668.065309 5593.437350
2025-04-20 256.257645 375.327403 564.871728 910.264801 1580.382166 2976.479619 6688.053731
2025-04-27 245.872146 365.038207 558.432138 919.651677 1644.103592 3223.232178 7720.314663
2025-05-04 235.002215 353.572184 549.691211 925.115092 1703.660974 3481.405281 8926.043158
2025-05-11 223.105178 339.625571 535.621599 919.135750 1738.883699 3692.517920 10102.857322
2025-05-18 216.859605 334.648646 536.713883 942.493518 1841.827707 4100.001036 12181.889456
2025-05-25 211.635997 330.981379 539.723913 969.886595 1958.820530 4579.498796 14873.072529
2025-06-01 204.531431 323.504802 535.052204 980.770705 2038.636862 4979.396799 17562.877020
2025-06-08 195.934363 312.811420 523.488625 975.681584 2078.233562 5272.156903 20021.044997
2025-06-15 190.608470 307.622679 521.932052 992.059770 2175.689634 5779.983670 24092.996401
2025-06-22 180.287034 292.746241 500.575728 962.184224 2145.998775 5857.551023 25833.646072
2025-06-29 170.997510 279.283717 481.131784 934.837668 2119.350686 5940.715803 27730.365786
2025-07-06 161.863960 265.667264 460.571847 903.130995 2076.306842 5955.619355 29232.170413
2025-07-13 159.709739 264.944258 465.696440 931.786591 2209.856527 6677.526944 36865.256340